The Marta Walsh Index: Normal — week ending Oct 9, 2026

Inside the wide normal band, where history says the asking price — not the market — determines whether a home sells.

A quiet week: down 3.2 to 120.9, well inside the range where the asking price, not the market, decides outcomes.

this week

Under 70

70–250 · normal

Over 250

Active $2M+ listings

1,350

Exposed for sale on the measurement Friday.

Contracts, trailing 4 weeks

162

Homes going under contract across the tier.

Cut their price

6.1%

75 of 1,228 active sellers, median cut 3.7%.

Waiting off-market

1,070

~156 expected back within 13 weeks.

All issues → · This week’s reading → · Methodology →

Based on information from the Arizona Regional Multiple Listing Service for the period January 1, 1998 through the as-of date. Compiled and analyzed by the author; ARMLS did not produce and does not endorse this analysis.